28

Sep

Round 3 Scout

SuperCoach NBL: Who to Buy, Hold, Sell & Captain in Round 3

Written By

Peter Brown

Senior Editor

SuperCoach NBL: Who to Buy, Hold, Sell & Captain in Round 3
SuperCoach NBL: Who to Buy, Hold, Sell & Captain in Round 3

SuperCoach NBL – Buy I Hold I Sell I Captain

Highlights

Round 3: Perth and Sydney play once, dodge singles and buy two-game players before prices move.

Sssshhhhh, don’t tell anyone, but BUY Arnas Velicka ($277,000).

The Lithuanian point guard has flown under the radar in Brisbane’s first two NBL27 games and is at a bargain import-entry price. Ok, that’s sarcasm; we’ve written as many articles about him as he’s had assists, and NBL commentators talk about him even when he’s not playing in the game they are commentating on.

Before Round 2, 13.4% of SuperCoaches owned him, and he’s been the Most Traded-In Player this week; more than 1,400 SuperCoaches have already pulled the trigger on the Bullets star. He’s shaping to be owned by more than 20% when Round 3 tips off on Wednesday.

Eight of the 10 NBL clubs play twice in SuperCoach NBL Round 3, which turns the usual question on its head: the job in Round 3 is not finding a double-header, it is making sure you are not carrying too many players from the only two clubs that play once, unless you have planned meticulously for Round 3, or just got lucky – the Perth Wildcats at home to South East Melbourne Phoenix and the Sydney Kings at home to the Brisbane Bullets.

Lockout starts at 5.30pm (AEST) on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, when the New Zealand Breakers host the Cairns Taipans at Spark Arena, and the round does not finish until the Breakers visit the Adelaide 36ers at 5pm (AEDT) on Sunday, October 4, the day daylight saving starts.

‍Every game is in our NBL27 fixture list.

The other thing driving the round is the price clock. Prices have moved for exactly the 51 players who have played three games and for nobody on two, so anyone who has only played twice is still sitting on his launch price with a third game to come in Round 3.

That is why the lead call of Round 3 is Arnas Velicka ($277,000): the highest average in the game, a Brisbane double, and a price that hasn't moved since launch.

SuperCoach NBL Classic Sign-in and Sign-Up
SuperCoach NBL

BUY

Players to bring in

Before the price moves: two games played, still on launch price, doubling

  • Velicka: 55.0 a game across two games, the highest average in SuperCoach NBL, and the best value of any Round 3 doubler at 19.9 points per $100,000. Brisbane play at Sydney on Wednesday night and host the Tasmania JackJumpers on Saturday. Buy. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 14.5 a game, 22.2 per cent owned, and the most-traded-in player of the round, with 1,410 trades in.
  • Max Mackinnon ($200,000): 36.0 a game and 18.0 points per $100,000, the second-best value of the doublers, after 31 points and 12 rebounds against Illawarra on the way there. He is eligible as a guard and a forward, which matters when we get to the captaincy. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 1.0 a game, a projected rise of $42,900 and 11.4 per cent owned.
  • Nate Hinton ($277,000): 38.5 a game, and like Mackinnon, he carries guard and forward eligibility. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 18.5 a game, a projected rise of $22,900 and 3.7 per cent owned.
  • Will Magnay ($269,300): 36.0 a game and the only centre on this list, in the thinnest position in the game. Tasmania host Melbourne United on Thursday and visit Brisbane on Saturday. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 19.5 a game, a projected rise of $24,800 and 4.7 per cent owned.
  • Cole Anthony ($300,000): 37.0 a game, with Melbourne at Tasmania on Thursday and at home to Cairns on Saturday. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 23.0 a game, a projected rise of $15,500 and 22.1 per cent owned.
  • Taran Armstrong ($304,700) is on 35.5 a game and his Tasmanian teammate David Johnson ($232,900) on 32.5, both riding the JackJumpers' double. SuperCoach's numbers: breakevens of 23.0 and 21.0 a game, with Armstrong 3.2 per cent owned and Johnson 4.9.
basketball.com.auSuperCoach NBL

SuperCoach NBL Round 3: Buy

16 players · players to bring in · prices after the Round 2 update
Max MackinnonBrisbane Bullets · Price rise due$200,000 > $200,000no change+$42,90036.01.0+35.0253.7230.620.09.51.00.50.572
Arnas VelickaBrisbane Bullets · Price rise due$277,000 > $277,000no change+$41,10055.014.5+40.52513.4233.420.04.512.51.00.5110
Nate HintonBrisbane Bullets · Price rise due$277,000 > $277,000no change+$22,90038.518.5+20.0252.4231.815.09.03.53.00.077
Will MagnayTasmania JackJumpers · Price rise due$269,300 > $269,300no change+$24,80036.019.5+16.5243.4225.815.55.53.51.02.072
Cole AnthonyMelbourne United · Price rise due$300,000 > $300,000no change+$15,50037.023.0+14.02519.6222.324.03.53.51.50.074
David JohnsonTasmania JackJumpers · Price rise due$232,900 > $232,900no change+$14,80032.521.0+11.5244.5231.122.06.53.50.50.565
Taran ArmstrongTasmania JackJumpers · Price rise due$304,700 > $304,700no change+$11,70035.523.0+12.5243.2233.119.54.05.00.50.571
Malique LewisCairns Taipans · Differential$207,900 > $235,900+$28,000+$25,60030.78.5+22.2252.6329.810.75.73.01.02.392
Dakota MathiasTasmania JackJumpers · Differential$145,200 > $145,200no change+$9,80020.511.5+9.0240.8236.714.55.02.50.00.041
Mojave KingNZ Breakers · Differential$189,100 > $189,700+$600+$14,40018.310.0+8.3251.1324.79.72.31.70.30.755
Johny NarkleIllawarra Hawks · Cash cow$69,000 > $90,000+$21,000+$21,20014.70.0+14.7264.5316.06.32.31.70.31.044
Malith MacharMelbourne United · Cash cow$69,000 > $69,000no change+$9,60011.51.0+10.5251.1210.55.50.50.50.01.523
Kyle AdnamIllawarra Hawks · Cash cow$69,000 > $69,000no change+$7,10010.01.5+8.5261.228.78.50.50.50.00.020
Lat MayenBrisbane Bullets · Cash cow$69,000 > $69,000no change+$7,90010.02.0+8.0254.5219.94.55.50.00.50.520
Matt KenyonAdelaide 36ers · Cash cow$69,000 > $85,700+$16,700+$8,80013.02.5+10.5237.6318.13.33.71.01.30.039
Will JohnstonSydney Kings · Cash cow, single in Round 3$69,000 > $69,000no change+$28,80020.5-21.0+41.5142.2216.612.02.53.50.00.041
Eight of the ten clubs play twice in Round 3; only Perth and Sydney play once. Price rise due marks players on two games, still at their starting price and well clear of breakeven.
How this table is built, and where the numbers come from
BE is SuperCoach’s Round 3 breakeven, the score a player must beat for his price to rise. It is set for the whole round, so for a club that plays twice it is shown here per game, and +/- is the season average minus that figure: the fair comparison between a single and a double. Start > Now is the starting price and the price after the Round 2 update; prices only move once a player has three games, so anyone on two moves after this round. Next move is SuperCoach’s own projection for Round 3, not ours. Dbl counts the rounds from 3 to 10 in which the club plays twice. Own % is the share of SuperCoach teams that hold the player. The season box is per game across Rounds 1 and 2 from the NBL’s box scores, and every SuperCoach total matches SuperCoach’s own. Checked on 28 September 2026.
SuperCoach NBL

HOLD

Players to keep
  • Dash Daniels ($115,000): 28.0 a game across three games and already up $44,200, the biggest price rise in the game. South East Melbourne visit Perth on Friday and host Illawarra on Sunday. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 13.0 a game, a projected rise of a further $13,200, and 51.5 per cent owned, the most owned player in SuperCoach NBL.
  • Nick Rakocevic ($188,400): 33.7 a game and up $40,600, the second-biggest rise, with Adelaide doubling and his forward-centre eligibility giving you two places to start him. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 4.5 a game, a projected rise of $51,200 and 38.0 per cent owned.
  • Parker Jackson-Cartwright ($405,200): 50.3 a game, second only to Velicka, and New Zealand have five doubles to Round 10, starting with Cairns at home on Wednesday and Adelaide away on Sunday. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 36.5 a game and 26.6 per cent owned.
  • Ben Gold ($69,000) is on 12.0 a game, Shaun Bruce ($76,500) on 14.0, Tanner Krebs ($150,300) on 20.3 and Akech Aliir ($125,300) on 14.3, all four play twice in Round 3, and Bruce, Krebs and Aliir have already risen in price. SuperCoach's numbers: all four are scoring above their breakevens, and Bruce has been traded out 261 times anyway.

Hold on fixture

  • Bryce Cotton ($473,900): Duh!. 45.3 a game, and his price has moved $100 in three games, which is as flat as a premium gets. Adelaide visit Illawarra on Friday and host New Zealand on Sunday, but they have only three doubles to Round 10. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 43.5 a game, a projected change of minus $1,500 and 39.1 per cent owned.
  • Zylan Cheatham ($339,500): Adelaide's forward is on 31.3 a game, down $3,000, and rides the same double. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 32.5 a game and 16.7 per cent owned.

Single in Round 3, but no reason to panic

basketball.com.auSuperCoach NBL

SuperCoach NBL Round 3: Hold

13 players · players to keep · prices after the Round 2 update
Dash DanielsSE Melbourne Phoenix · Most owned in the game$115,000 > $159,200+$44,200+$13,20028.013.0+15.02451.7325.414.76.01.71.30.384
Nick RakocevicAdelaide 36ers · Biggest riser$188,400 > $229,000+$40,600+$51,20033.74.5+29.22331.5331.318.39.71.30.31.0101
Parker Jackson-CartwrightNZ Breakers · Five doubles left$405,200 > $435,200+$30,000+$18,20050.336.5+13.82527.4336.326.33.79.31.70.3151
Ben GoldTasmania JackJumpers · Above breakeven$69,000 > $69,000no change+$7,10012.05.0+7.02437.8219.94.03.00.50.02.024
Shaun BruceCairns Taipans · Traded out, still above$76,500 > $93,900+$17,400+$4,30014.08.0+6.02521.7315.46.71.73.70.30.042
Tanner KrebsSE Melbourne Phoenix · Above breakeven$150,300 > $165,800+$15,500+$7,30020.316.5+3.82422.1325.411.73.31.71.30.061
Akech AliirSE Melbourne Phoenix · Above breakeven$125,300 > $131,300+$6,000+$9,00014.311.0+3.32428.4318.46.74.01.70.00.343
Sam FrolingIllawarra Hawks · Six doubles left$228,200 > $234,700+$6,500+$12,90024.315.5+8.82618.9325.113.36.31.70.30.773
Bryce CottonAdelaide 36ers · On breakeven, doubles$473,900 > $473,800−$100−$1,50045.343.5+1.82339.3337.930.31.76.72.30.3136
Zylan CheathamAdelaide 36ers · On breakeven, doubles$339,500 > $336,500−$3,000+$4,30031.332.5−1.22316.2334.416.08.74.01.00.394
Anthony Dell'OrsoPerth Wildcats · Single, still rising$100,000 > $138,300+$38,300+$42,70024.3-35.0+59.31319.8328.211.74.73.71.70.073
Elijah PepperPerth Wildcats · Single, still rising$202,700 > $232,800+$30,100+$27,00031.0-5.0+36.0135.9335.223.03.33.71.30.093
Kendric DavisSydney Kings · Single, above breakeven$436,000 > $436,000no change+$7,60046.033.0+13.0146.3228.528.54.56.01.00.092
Players to keep through Round 3, including three who play only once this round but are still beating their breakeven.
How this table is built, and where the numbers come from
BE is SuperCoach’s Round 3 breakeven, the score a player must beat for his price to rise. It is set for the whole round, so for a club that plays twice it is shown here per game, and +/- is the season average minus that figure: the fair comparison between a single and a double. Start > Now is the starting price and the price after the Round 2 update; prices only move once a player has three games, so anyone on two moves after this round. Next move is SuperCoach’s own projection for Round 3, not ours. Dbl counts the rounds from 3 to 10 in which the club plays twice. Own % is the share of SuperCoach teams that hold the player. The season box is per game across Rounds 1 and 2 from the NBL’s box scores, and every SuperCoach total matches SuperCoach’s own. Checked on 28 September 2026.
SuperCoach NBL

SELL

Players to move on

Falling, and still widely held

  • Sam Mennenga ($303,100): 22.3 a game and down $17,400. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 33.0 a game, a projected fall of $20,800, 32.3 per cent owned and 524 trades out.
  • Keanu Pinder ($300,000): 26.7 a game and down $5,300. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 36.0 a game, a projected fall of $18,200 and 487 trades out.
  • Hunter Goodrick ($69,000): 4.0 a game and down $6,800. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 8.0 a game, and at 39.7 per cent he is the second most owned player in the game.
  • Reuben Te Rangi ($97,100): 5.3 a game and down $10,200. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 13.5 a game and a projected fall of $12,100.
  • Luke Travers ($292,900): 22.5 a game across two games, so his price has not moved yet. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 32.5 a game and a projected fall of $8,800.

Premiums not paying their way

  • William Hickey ($331,600): 23.3 a game and down $21,800. This is the hardest call on the page, because Illawarra have six doubles to Round 10. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 41.5 a game and a projected fall of $25,000.
  • Jack McVeigh ($349,800): 21.3 a game and down $31,500, the third-biggest fall in the game. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 32.5 a game.
  • Tyrell Harrison ($336,100): 27.5 a game across two games, at a centre's premium price. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 39.5 a game.
  • Xavier Cooks ($308,000) is on 22.0 a game and Torrey Craig ($290,400) on 20.5, and Sydney play once. SuperCoach's numbers: breakevens of 44.0 and 42.0.

Priced high, scoring under 20

  • Nathan Sobey ($379,600): 14.0 in his only game so far, and our injury report has him available after back soreness. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 47.5 and a projected fall of $40,700.
  • Sam Waardenburg ($277,500): 12.0 a game across two games for Melbourne. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 33.0 a game.
  • Jaylin Williams ($277,000): 12.0 a game across two for Brisbane, so he is on the right side of the double and the wrong side of the scoresheet. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 33.5 a game and 0.7 per cent owned.
  • D'Shawn Schwartz ($277,000): 16.3 a game for South East Melbourne and already down $26,500. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 27.5 a game and 1.7 per cent owned.

Perth play once

  • Kristian Doolittle ($317,500): 33.3 a game, but Perth have one game in Round 3 and their first double of the season is not until Round 7. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 39.0 on one game, and the most traded-out player of the round at 614.
  • Jo Lual-Acuil Jr ($318,100): 26.0 a game, down $11,600, and a doubt after he left Perth's win over New Zealand on September 26 after 7 minutes and 38 seconds with an apparent calf injury. SuperCoach's numbers: a breakeven of 46.0.

Out, and still owned

If one of these is in your starting five and does not play, the auto-emergency promotes your lowest-scoring bench player who did play, not your best, so a known out is worth a trade. Our NBL Injury Report has the detail on every one.

SuperCoach's numbers: Cameron is 8.7 per cent owned, Peatling 3.0, Blanchfield 2.6, Le Gassick 2.3 and Days 1.2.

basketball.com.auSuperCoach NBL

SuperCoach NBL Round 3: Sell

20 players · players to move on · prices after the Round 2 update
Sam MennengaNZ Breakers · Heavily owned, below$303,100 > $285,700−$17,400−$20,80022.333.0−10.72535.3329.817.05.71.70.00.367
Keanu PinderCairns Taipans · Heavily owned, below$300,000 > $294,700−$5,300−$18,20026.736.0−9.32524.5326.815.34.73.01.00.380
Hunter GoodrickSE Melbourne Phoenix · Heavily owned, below$69,000 > $62,200−$6,800−$3,6004.08.0−4.02442.1310.21.73.30.00.00.312
Reuben Te RangiNZ Breakers · Heavily owned, below$97,100 > $86,900−$10,200−$12,1005.313.5−8.22522.0319.34.31.30.00.00.316
Luke TraversMelbourne United · Heavily owned, below$292,900 > $292,900no change−$8,80022.532.5−10.02517.1227.210.07.53.50.00.045
William HickeyIllawarra Hawks · Falling premium$331,600 > $309,800−$21,800−$25,00023.341.5−18.2266.7324.412.75.03.00.01.070
Jack McVeighCairns Taipans · Falling premium$349,800 > $318,300−$31,500−$14,80021.332.5−11.2258.5329.715.02.72.30.70.364
Tyrell HarrisonBrisbane Bullets · Falling premium$336,100 > $336,100no change−$22,00027.539.5−12.0255.7226.219.56.02.50.02.055
Xavier CooksSydney Kings · Falling premium, single$308,000 > $308,000no change−$11,70022.044.0−22.0145.1223.413.05.51.50.01.544
Torrey CraigSydney Kings · Falling premium, single$290,400 > $290,400no change−$11,60020.542.0−21.5142.9222.216.53.00.50.50.541
Nathan SobeySE Melbourne Phoenix · $250k+, under 20$379,600 > $379,600no change−$40,70014.047.5−33.5242.3121.96.03.01.01.00.014
Sam WaardenburgMelbourne United · $250k+, under 20$277,500 > $277,500no change−$23,10012.033.0−21.0252.3224.64.53.51.01.01.024
Jaylin WilliamsBrisbane Bullets · $250k+, under 20$277,000 > $277,000no change−$21,20012.033.5−21.5250.7221.45.04.01.00.01.024
D'Shawn SchwartzSE Melbourne Phoenix · $250k+, under 20$277,000 > $250,500−$26,500−$15,50016.327.5−11.2242.1321.17.04.01.70.70.049
Kristian DoolittlePerth Wildcats · Single, below breakeven$317,500 > $325,200+$7,700−$5,50033.339.0−5.71320.4336.016.36.35.31.00.3100
Jo Lual-Acuil JrPerth Wildcats · Single, calf TBC$318,100 > $306,500−$11,600−$15,60026.046.0−20.0137.5323.914.36.71.00.30.378
Flynn CameronAdelaide 36ers · Out: ankle, up to 6 weeks$241,700 > $241,700no change+$5,70021.024.0−3.02310.7119.96.02.06.01.00.021
Mason PeatlingIllawarra Hawks · Out: foot, TBC$147,700 > $147,700no change−$13,4007.518.0−10.5263.427.31.01.51.50.01.015
Todd BlanchfieldIllawarra Hawks · Out: finger, TBC$123,800 > $123,800no change−$5,70010.514.0−3.5263.228.95.52.50.50.50.021
Preston Le GassickNZ Breakers · Out: ankle, TBC$69,000 > $69,000no change$0–6.5–252.60–––––––
Below breakeven, falling in price, priced over $250,000 and averaging under 20, or out injured. Red +/- means the price is falling.
How this table is built, and where the numbers come from
BE is SuperCoach’s Round 3 breakeven, the score a player must beat for his price to rise. It is set for the whole round, so for a club that plays twice it is shown here per game, and +/- is the season average minus that figure: the fair comparison between a single and a double. Start > Now is the starting price and the price after the Round 2 update; prices only move once a player has three games, so anyone on two moves after this round. Next move is SuperCoach’s own projection for Round 3, not ours. Dbl counts the rounds from 3 to 10 in which the club plays twice. Own % is the share of SuperCoach teams that hold the player. The season box is per game across Rounds 1 and 2 from the NBL’s box scores, and every SuperCoach total matches SuperCoach’s own. Checked on 28 September 2026.
SuperCoach NBL

CAPTAIN

Armband candidates

The armband doubles a player's score across both of his games in a double round, and it doubles a negative just as faithfully, so this list is Round 3 doublers only, ranked on season average.

  • Velicka, 55.0: at Sydney on Wednesday at 7.30pm (AEST), then home to Tasmania on Saturday at 5.30pm (AEST).
  • Jackson-Cartwright, 50.3: home to Cairns in the first game of the round at 5.30pm (AEST) on Wednesday, then at Adelaide at 5pm (AEDT) on Sunday.
  • Cotton, 45.3: at Illawarra on Friday at 7.30pm (AEST), then home to New Zealand on Sunday.

Two things to check before you lock it in. Cotton and Jackson-Cartwright meet in Adelaide on Sunday, so they are not independent picks for captain and vice-captain.

Kendric Davis, on 46.0, is the best single-game option in the round, but one game is one game, and he is not a captaincy candidate in Round 3.

Round 3 locks at 5.30pm (AEST) on Wednesday, September 30, 2026.

basketball.com.auSuperCoach NBL

SuperCoach NBL Round 3: Captain

8 armband candidates · all play twice in Round 3 · ranked on season average
Arnas VelickaBrisbane Bulletsat SYD, v TAS55.05914.5+40.5$277,000 > $277,000no change13.4233.420.04.512.51.00.5110
Parker Jackson-CartwrightNZ Breakersv CNS, at ADL50.35936.5+13.8$405,200 > $435,200+$30,00027.4336.326.33.79.31.70.3151
Bryce CottonAdelaide 36ersat ILL, v NZL45.36443.5+1.8$473,900 > $473,800−$10039.3337.930.31.76.72.30.3136
Nate HintonBrisbane Bulletsat SYD, v TAS38.54318.5+20.0$277,000 > $277,000no change2.4231.815.09.03.53.00.077
Cole AnthonyMelbourne Unitedat TAS, v CNS37.04023.0+14.0$300,000 > $300,000no change19.6222.324.03.53.51.50.074
Max MackinnonBrisbane Bulletsat SYD, v TAS36.0551.0+35.0$200,000 > $200,000no change3.7230.620.09.51.00.50.572
Will MagnayTasmania JackJumpersv MEL, at BRI36.03819.5+16.5$269,300 > $269,300no change3.4225.815.55.53.51.02.072
Taran ArmstrongTasmania JackJumpersv MEL, at BRI35.54123.0+12.5$304,700 > $304,700no change3.2233.119.54.05.00.50.571
Only players whose club plays twice in Round 3, because the armband doubles both games. Cotton and Jackson-Cartwright meet when Adelaide host NZ, and Velicka, Hinton and Mackinnon are all Brisbane.
How this table is built, and where the numbers come from
BE is SuperCoach’s Round 3 breakeven, the score a player must beat for his price to rise. It is set for the whole round, so for a club that plays twice it is shown here per game, and +/- is the season average minus that figure: the fair comparison between a single and a double. Start > Now is the starting price and the price after the Round 2 update; prices only move once a player has three games, so anyone on two moves after this round. Next move is SuperCoach’s own projection for Round 3, not ours. Dbl counts the rounds from 3 to 10 in which the club plays twice. Own % is the share of SuperCoach teams that hold the player. The season box is per game across Rounds 1 and 2 from the NBL’s box scores, and every SuperCoach total matches SuperCoach’s own. Checked on 28 September 2026. Best is the player’s best single game of the season.
basketballcom.au SuperCoach NBL League Code 200000

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